Research
Persistent, evidence-backed market theses that update as conditions change.
Research Pulse
31
Active Insights
The research base is stable — no material conviction shifts today; no active thesis was invalidated.
Priority Intelligence
High-conviction radar picks (>75) face extreme short-term volatility
High-conviction radar signals are currently failing to hold support, leading to sharp liquidations
Why it matters: Market participants are front-running Arvio's signals, leading to 'buy the rumor, sell the news' blow-offs.
DePIN infrastructure tokens outperform broader market in high-conviction signals
Strong narrative momentum in DePIN correlates with higher hit rates for conviction calls
Why it matters: The market is rotating out of speculative memecoins into tangible infrastructure projects.
Liquidity buildup signals are significantly more reliable than volume acceleration
Early signals based on liquidity depth are showing more stability in maintaining price than volume-based breakouts
Why it matters: Investors are prioritizing underlying liquidity depth over ephemeral volume spikes to avoid trapping themselves in liquidity pools.
All Research
Low conviction, high volatility 'surprise' tokens yield better returns than radar top picks
4 evidence · Updated 12h ago
DeFi
5 evidence · Updated 1d ago
Stablecoins
5 evidence · Updated 1d ago
AI Infrastructure
5 evidence · Updated 1d ago
ANAKIN — liquidity buildup
0 evidence · Updated 1d ago
RNDR — Render Network
4 evidence · Updated 1d ago
LIT — Lighter
4 evidence · Updated 1d ago
INJ — Injective
4 evidence · Updated 1d ago
CELR — Celer Network
4 evidence · Updated 1d ago
DePIN
5 evidence · Updated 1d ago
ANKR — Ankr
4 evidence · Updated 1d ago
RWA
5 evidence · Updated 1d ago
MANTA — Manta Network
4 evidence · Updated 1d ago
XEC — eCash
4 evidence · Updated 1d ago
PI — liquidity buildup
0 evidence · Updated 1d ago
DACITYCOIN — volume acceleration
0 evidence · Updated 1d ago
WAXP — WAX
4 evidence · Updated 1d ago
GEMINI — liquidity buildup
0 evidence · Updated 1d ago
FOCO — volume acceleration
0 evidence · Updated 1d ago
Gaming
5 evidence · Updated 1d ago
BLOBBO — social surfacing
0 evidence · Updated 1d ago
AXIS — narrative emerging
0 evidence · Updated 1d ago
Capital Rotation
6 evidence · Updated 1d ago
Binance Outflows Persist Despite Withdrawal Resumption
0 evidence · Updated 1d ago
Bitcoin Technicals Flash Bearish Signal as Short-Term Momentum Dips
0 evidence · Updated 1d ago
Security Concerns Persist as Mercado Bitcoin Halts Withdrawals
0 evidence · Updated 1d ago
Mog Coin Faces Selling Pressure Amid Market Consolidation
0 evidence · Updated 1d ago
Solana ETF Outflows Hit Record $71.5M Amid Broader Market Consolidation
0 evidence · Updated 1d ago
High-conviction radar picks (>75) face extreme short-term volatility
High-conviction radar signals are currently failing to hold support, leading to sharp liquidations
Thesis
Market participants are front-running Arvio's signals, leading to 'buy the rumor, sell the news' blow-offs.
Key findings
- •High conviction ratings are currently acting as liquidity exit points for smart money
- •Aggressive mean reversion is occurring across all high-conviction radar targets
Opposing evidence
No conflicting evidence recorded — the thesis is currently uncontested.
Invalidation conditions
- If subsequent high-conviction radar picks achieve a >50% hit rate over a 5-day observation window.
Track & notify