Market Intelligence & Indices

A single composite sentiment score (0–100) rolls up fear, greed, volatility, and breadth into one number with a label — Fear, Neutral, Greed, or Extreme. This label isn't just a vibe check; it's the regime the calibration models split on, so a Greed-market probability and a Fear-market probability are measured separately.

Because prediction outcomes are tagged with the regime they were made under, the platform can answer "does this engine work better in Greed or Fear?" — and weight accordingly.

Each narrative carries a composite score (0–100), a momentum value, and a direction (up / down / flat) — not a static tag, but a moving signal. The score blends five factors:

Each narrative is anchored to a lead token, so a prediction about the narrative resolves against a real, tradeable asset — never a vague theme. The narrative engine's track record is measured the same way every other engine's is.

A per-chain Ecosystem Index scores the health of each blockchain ecosystem on a broader set of structural factors:

Each ecosystem carries a direction, a score history, and a rarity flag — surfacing chains that are quietly improving before the crowd notices.

Capital doesn't sit still. The capital-rotation view tracks sector-level inflows and outflows with a magnitude, so you can see where money is moving to and from — DeFi, L2s, memecoins, AI, stablecoins — and how that rotation is accelerating.

Rotation feeds the daily briefing and the narrative scores; a sector seeing sustained inflows lifts the narratives tied to it.

Each morning Arvio publishes a daily briefing: a headline, the five things that matter today, the narrative of the day, the capital-rotation summary, a set of opportunities, the top risk, and the market-sentiment read. It's a synthesis, not a firehose — the whole market compressed into a two-minute read.

Pro subscribers can have it delivered by email; everyone sees it in-app.